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The Numbers Game: Calgary Flames Edition

Apr 21, 2013; St. Paul, MN, USA; Minnesota Wild forward Zach Parise (11) scores a goal on Calgary Flames goalie Joey MacDonald (35) during the second period at the Xcel Energy Center. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

In a new feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will be analysing the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is the Calgary FlamesNew Jersey Devils.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out my stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

 

WILD FLAMES
LEAGUE POSITION  11th  18th
HOME RECORD  6-1-2  3-2-1
ROAD RECORD  2-3-1  3-4-1
PP% 24.6% 2nd 15.4% 21st
PK% 76.3% 28th 77.3% 25th

-5v5 CLOSE-

WILD FLAMES
CF% 55.2% 4th 45.6% 26th
FF% 56.5% 4th 48.8% 19th
SF% 58.1% 2nd 49.3% 18th
Sh% 7.6% 19th 7.8% 18th
Sv% 95.1% 2nd 90.5% 25th
PDO 102.7 7th 98.3 22nd
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

Wow, the Flames aren’t really good at anything by the looks of it. Bad special teams, possession numbers, shooting percentage and save percentage. It’s amazing that they’ve managed to win 6 games this year, but I wouldn’t expect them to win many more. The Wild really, really should cream these guys.

 

-Here are the Best 3 and Worst 3 players for each team in various statistical categories. This only counts players who have played 50% of their team’s games so far:

 5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

Wild CF% Top 3

KOIVU (62.3%)

BALLARD (61.5%)

PARISE (60.7%)

Wild CF% Worst 3

BRODZIAK (47.7%)

BRODIN (49.2%)

FONTAINE (49.7%)

Flames CF% Top 3

GIORDANO (51.9%)

GALIARDI (50.4%)

BOUMA (49.6%)

Flames CF% Worst 3

MCGRATTAN (38.2%)

O’BRIEN (40.1%) BUTLER (40.2%)
Wild FF% Top 3

BALLARD (65.5%)

STONER (64.5%)

MITCHELL (64.3%)

Wild FF% Worst 3

HEATLEY (48.1%)

BRODIN (48.5%)

GRANLUND (48.8%)

Flames FF% Top 3

BOUMA (55.7%)

GALIARDI (55.0%)

WIDEMAN (52.3%)

Flames FF% Worst 3

MCGRATTAN (39.6%)

STREET (40.3%)

STEMPNIAK (42.6%)

Wild PDO Top 3

BALLARD (116.1)

COOKE (112.6)

POMINVILLE (110.3)

Wild PDO Worst 3

VEILLEUX (84.6)

NIEDERREITER (96.4)

KONOPKA (98.1)

Flames PDO Top 3

HUDLER (108.0)

CAMMALLERI (105.9)

BAERTSCHI (102.9)

Flames PDO Worst 3

GLENCROSS (75.0)

BRODIE (81.3)

BOUMA (82.9)

The Flames best player, Mark Giordano, is out tonight. That leaves T.J Galiardi as the only positive Corsi player left. The Wild really should exterminate this team…..

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-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

wild vs flames

Calgary Flames

flames vs wild

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

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Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out Andrew’s official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get his insight along with all the information you need about the game.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

-Extra Skater

-BehindTheNet.ca

-Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

-SomeKindOfNinja.com

-HockeyAbstract.com

Topics: Advanced Stats, Calgary Flames, Corsi, Fancystats, Fenwick, Minnesota Wild, Minnesota Wild Preview, NHL, Pdo, Regression, Sh%, Sv%, Wild, Wild Game Night

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