The Numbers Game: Florida Panthers Edition

Oct 19, 2013; Sunrise, FL, USA; Florida Panthers center Tomas Kopecky (82) shields Minnesota Wild goalie Josh Harding (37) for a goal by Panthers center Aleksander Barkov (not pictured) in the third period at BB

In a  feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will analyse the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is the Florida Panthers.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out my stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

 

 WILD  PANTHERS
LEAGUE POSITION  8th  28th
HOME RECORD  8-1-2  3-4-3
ROAD RECORD  3-3-2  1-7-1
PP% 22.2% 5th 9.1% 29th
PK% 77.8% 26th 79.0% 24th

-5v5 CLOSE-

 WILD  PANTHERS
CF% 55.6% 4th 48.8% 19th
FF% 56.3% 3rd 48.5% 19th
SF% 57.9% 2nd 47.8% 20th
Sh% 7.0% 21st 4.9% 30th
Sv% 94.9% 1st 87.3% 30th
PDO 101.9 10th 92.2 30th
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

  • The Panthers actually aren’t as bad as one might think. Their puck possession numbers are decent, but they’re suffering from ridiculously low percentages. There’s no way that Sh% and that Sv% are sustainable. This team might actually win a few games before the end of the year and surprise some people.
  • Their special teams are woeful though.
  • The Wild are still getting it done in terms of puck possession.

 

-Here are the Best 3 and Worst 3 players for each team in various statistical categories. This only counts players who have played 50% of their team’s games so far:

 5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

MIN CF% Top 3

KOIVU (61.2%)

STONER (60.6%)

NIEDERREITER (60.6%)

MIN CF% Worst 3

BRODZIAK (48.9%)

FONTAINE (50.5%)

BRODIN (51.3%)

FLA CF% Top 3

BJUGSTAD (55.1%)

GILROY (53.7%)

WINCHESTER (53.1%)

FLA CF% Worst 3

GOMEZ (44.1%)

     KULIKOV (46.1%)         UPSHALL (46.2%)
MIN FF% Top 3

STONER (64.1%)

NIEDERREITER (61.8%)

KONOPKA (61.8%)

MIN FF% Worst 3

HEATLEY (50.0%)

BRODIN (50.5%)

GRANLUND (50.5%)

FLA FF% Top 3

GILROY (55.1%)

BJUGSTAD (53.5%)

WINCHESTER (52.6%)

FLA FF% Worst 3

GOMEZ (33.3%)

KULIKOV (34.5%)

FLEISCHMANN (45.2%)

MIN PDO Top 3

POMINVILLE (109.8)

COOKE (108.6)

FONTAINE (107.3)

MIN PDO Worst 3

VEILLEUX (84.6)

KONOPKA (93.8)

MITCHELL (95.8)

FLA PDO Top 3

GOMEZ (99.7)

WINCHESTER (97.2)

GILBERT (96.2)

FLA PDO Worst 3

VERSTEEG (86.2)

GUDBRANSON (87.9)

GILROY (88.3)

 

  • Check out Nino Niederreiter. He has skyrocketed up the Corsi and Fenwick charts. That trade looks better all the time…
  • Nick Bjustad is putting-up great numbers in his rookie year.

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-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

wild vs panthers

  • Scandella, Brodziak and Cooke still have the toughest minute and are doing very well.
  • The 4th line is taking on soft compeition and doing okay.

 

Florida Panthers

panthers vs wild

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

  • You can see that Bjustad’s great numbers are a product of playing sheltered minutes.
  • Tom Gilbert and Brian Campbell are putting-up very good puck possession numbers on a bad team. The top-pairing defencemen should have no trouble securing a move elsewhere before the trade deadline.
  • Shawn Matthias stands-out too as a nice target for a team looking to add some depth via trade.

 

 

Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out the official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get some useful insight along with all the information you need about the game.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

-Extra Skater

-BehindTheNet.ca

-Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

-SomeKindOfNinja.com

-HockeyAbstract.com

Topics: 5v5 Close, Advanced Stats, Analysis, Corsi, Fancystats, Fenwick, Florida Panthers, Minnesota Wild, Minnesota Wild Preview, NHL, Pdo, Regression, Sh%, Sv%, Tom Gilbert, Wild, Wild Game Night

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