Mar 27, 2013; Saint Paul, MN, USA; Phoenix Coyotes defenseman Michael Stone (29) and Minnesota Wild forward Torrey Mitchell (17) battle for the puck in the first period at the Xcel Energy Center. Mandatory Credit: Marilyn Indahl-USA TODAY Sports

The Numbers Game: Phoenix Coyotes Edition


In a  feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will analyse the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is the Phoenix Coyotes.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out this great stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

 

 WILD  COYOTES
LEAGUE POSITION  8th  9th
HOME RECORD  10-1-2  9-1-2
ROAD RECORD  5-5-2  5-5-2
PP% 21.6% 7th 21.4% 8th
PK% 78.6% 25th 76.1% 28th

-5v5 CLOSE-

 WILD  COYOTES
FF% 53.5% 7th 48.6% 20th
Sh% 7.3% 19th 8.5% 9th
Sv% 94.3% 6th 92.7% 12th
PDO 101.6 9th 101.2 11th
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

  • The Wild and the Coyotes have had eerily similar seasons so far. Similar records, special teams and PDO. The one difference is the Wild’s better possession numbers.

 

-Here are the 3 Best and 3 Worst players from each team in terms of  Corsi For% (puck possession) and PDO (luck). This only counts players who have played 50% of their team’s games so far:

5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

MIN CF% Top 3

KOIVU (60.3%)

PARISE (59.8%)

MITCHELL (57.9%)

MIN CF% Worst 3

BRODZIAK (44.6%)

COOKE (46.4%)

FONTAINE (46.5%)

MIN PDO Top 3

FONTAINE (107.8)

POMINVILLE (107.0)

GRANLUND (105.1)

MIN PDO Worst 3

DUMBA (92.8)

KONOPKA (92.9)

MITCHELL (94.1)

PHX CF% Top 3

SCHLEMKO (54.2%)

BISSONETTE (52.7%)

MOSS (51.8%)

PHX CF% Worst 3

HALPERN (37.4%)

CHIPCHURA (41.7%)

EKMAN-LARSSON (43.0%)

PHX PDO Top 3

KLINKHAMMER (105.9)

MORRIS (105.5)

DOAN (103.7)

PHX PDO Worst 3

HALPERN (88.6)

CHIPCHURA (92.8)

KLESLA (98.0)

 

 

-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

wild vs coyotes

  • Torrey Mitchell’s got the 3rd best CF% at 5v5 Close, but is a red dot on this chart because this is based on regular 5v5.

 

Phoenix Coyotes

coyotes vs wild

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

  • David Schlemko is a surprise. His numbers are excellent.
  • Antoine Vermette and Rob Klinkhammer are doing okay in tough minutes.
  • “Rusty” Klesla is their best Corsi player on the defence…and they waived him. Dumb.

 

 

Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out the official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get some useful insight along with all the information you need about the game.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

-Extra Skater

-BehindTheNet.ca

-Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

-SomeKindOfNinja.com

-HockeyAbstract.com

Tags: 5v5 Close Advanced Stats Corsi Fancystats Fenwick Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild Preview NHL Pdo Phoenix Coyotes Regression Sh% Sv% Wild Wild Game Night