The Numbers Game: Colorado Avalanche
By Ger Devine
Apr 27, 2013; Denver, CO, USA; Minnesota Wild defenseman Jonas Brodin (25) skates with the puck as Colorado Avalanche left wing Cody McLeod (55) pursues during the second period at the Pepsi Center. Mandatory Credit: Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports
In a feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will analyse the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is the Colorado Avalanche.
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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:
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WILD
AVALANCHE
LEAGUE POSITION
9th 7th
HOME RECORD
10-2-2 9-4-0
ROAD RECORD
5-5-2 8-2-0
PP%
21.1%8th18.6%15th
PK%
78.0%24th83.1%13th
-5v5-
WILD
AVALANCHE
FenClose%
53.4%7th49.3%16th
Sh%
6.9%22nd9.0%4th
Sv%
93.8%6th94.1%4th
PDO
100.712th103.11st
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)
- The Avs are this year’s “team most likely to collapse down the stretch” due to their middling puck possession numbers and #1 ranked PDO.
-Here are the 3 Best and 3 Worst players from each team in terms of Corsi For% (puck possession) and PDO (luck). This only counts players who have played 50% of their team’s games so far:
5v5 |
PLAYER #1
PLAYER #2
PLAYER #3
MIN CF% Top 3
KOIVU (60.4%)
PARISE (59.5%)
POMINVILLE (56.1%)
MIN CF% Worst 3
BRODZIAK (46.0%)
FONTAINE (46.6%)
BRODIN (46.8%)
MIN PDO Top 3
FONTAINE (106.6)
GRANLUND (104.5)
COOKE (103.8)
MIN PDO Worst 3
DUMBA (93.5)
KONOPKA (93.7)
MITCHELL (93.8)
COL CF% Top 3
DUCHENE (51.8%)
LANDESKOG (50.4%)
STASTNY (50.4%)
COL CF% Worst 3
CLICHE (37.7%)
BORDELEAU (40.7%)
MCLEOD (42.3%)
COL PDO Top 3
BORDELEAU (112.2)
MCLEOD (110.7)
CLICHE (108.6)
COL PDO Worst 3
PARENTEAU (99.0)
DUCHENE (99.9)
O’REILLY (100.6)
-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
(Click To Enlarge) (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)
- Duchene, O’Reilly and Landeskog, as you can see, are the heart and soul of this team.
- Nathan McKinnon is getting pretty soft minutes and isn’t doing all that well.
- Guys like Cliche, Bordeleau, Wilson and McLeod are weak links that the Wild should look to exploit.
Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out the official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get some useful insight along with all the information you need about the game.
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*Numbers in this article courtesy of: