The Numbers Game: Montreal Canadiens Edition

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Mar 01, 2012; Montreal, QC, CAN; Minnesota Wild left wing Dany Heatley (15) and Montreal Canadiens right wing Rene Bourque (27) talk before a first period face-off at the Bell Center. Mandatory Credit: Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

In a new feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will be analysing the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is, once again, the Montreal Canadiens.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out my stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

WILD

CANADIENS

LEAGUE POSITION

15th 13th

HOME RECORD

4-1-2 4-4-0

ROAD RECORD

2-3-1 4-1-0

PP%

24.5%4th22.6%7th

PK%

75.9%28th84.3%7th

-5v5 CLOSE-

WILD

CANADIENS

GF%

62.5%8th68.4%5th

CF%

56.8%3rd51.5%12th

FF%

58.1%1st52.1%9th

SF%

59.7%1st50.9%15th

Sh%

5.8%23rd7.5%18th

Sv%

94.8%5th96.4%1st

PDO

100.614th103.93rd

(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

Both teams have good puck possession numbers so far this year. The Habs high PDO, a result of their sky-high Sv%, indicates they are likely to regress to the mean. Their penalty kill has been much more successful than the Wild’s.

-Here are the Best 3 and Worst 3 players for each team in various statistical categories. This only counts players who have played 25% of their team’s games so far:

 5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

Wild CF% Top 3

BALLARD (67.7%)

PARISE (64.4%)

KOIVU (63.9%)

Wild CF% Worst 3

FONTAINE (49.6%)

BRODZIAK (49.7%)

PROSSER (50.6%)

Habs CF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (63.25%)

MOEN (61.6%)

ELLER (55.5%)

Habs CF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (25.0%)

BLUNDEN (27.8%)

BOUILLON (45.0%)

Wild FF% Top 3

BALLARD (71.1%)

STONER (67.5%)

PARISE (65.7%)

Wild FF% Worst 3

HEATLEY (49.6%)

GRANLUND (50.5%)

BRODIN (51.4%)

Habs FF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (66.25%)

MOEN (60.2%)

GALLAGHER (58.7%)

Habs FF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (24.1%)

BLUNDEN (25.9%)

WHITE (44.3%)

Wild PDO Top 3

COOKE (111.4)

BRODZIAK (110.9)

PROSSER (110.0)

Wild PDO Worst 3

VEILLEUX (84.6)

MITCHELL (92.3)

KONOPKA (93.3)

Habs PDO Top 3

BLUNDEN (125.0)

BEAULIEU (118.2)

BOURNIVAL (114.9)

Habs PDO Worst 3

PACIORETTY (90.5)

TINORDI (93.4)

MOEN (94.7)

Michael Borunival appears to be a beast for the Canadiens, driving possession extremely well. Holland and Blunden would appear to be the weak links in that team.

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-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

Montreal Canadiens

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

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Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out Scott’s official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get his insight along with all the information you need about the game.

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

Extra Skater

BehindTheNet.ca

Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

SomeKindOfNinja.com

HockeyAbstract.com