Mar 01, 2012; Montreal, QC, CAN; Minnesota Wild left wing Dany Heatley (15) and Montreal Canadiens right wing Rene Bourque (27) talk before a first period face-off at the Bell Center. Mandatory Credit: Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

The Numbers Game: Montreal Canadiens Edition


In a new feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will be analysing the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is, once again, the Montreal Canadiens.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out my stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

 

WILD CANADIENS
LEAGUE POSITION  15th  13th
HOME RECORD  4-1-2  4-4-0
ROAD RECORD  2-3-1  4-1-0
PP% 24.5% 4th 22.6% 7th
PK% 75.9% 28th 84.3% 7th

-5v5 CLOSE-

WILD CANADIENS
GF% 62.5% 8th 68.4% 5th
CF% 56.8% 3rd 51.5% 12th
FF% 58.1% 1st 52.1% 9th
SF% 59.7% 1st 50.9% 15th
Sh% 5.8% 23rd 7.5% 18th
Sv% 94.8% 5th 96.4% 1st
PDO 100.6 14th 103.9 3rd
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

Both teams have good puck possession numbers so far this year. The Habs high PDO, a result of their sky-high Sv%, indicates they are likely to regress to the mean. Their penalty kill has been much more successful than the Wild’s.

 

-Here are the Best 3 and Worst 3 players for each team in various statistical categories. This only counts players who have played 25% of their team’s games so far:

 5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

Wild CF% Top 3

BALLARD (67.7%)

PARISE (64.4%)

KOIVU (63.9%)

Wild CF% Worst 3

FONTAINE (49.6%)

BRODZIAK (49.7%)

PROSSER (50.6%)

Habs CF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (63.25%)

MOEN (61.6%)

ELLER (55.5%)

Habs CF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (25.0%)

BLUNDEN (27.8%)

BOUILLON (45.0%)

Wild FF% Top 3

BALLARD (71.1%)

STONER (67.5%)

PARISE (65.7%)

Wild FF% Worst 3

HEATLEY (49.6%)

GRANLUND (50.5%)

BRODIN (51.4%)

Habs FF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (66.25%)

MOEN (60.2%)

GALLAGHER (58.7%)

Habs FF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (24.1%)

BLUNDEN (25.9%)

WHITE (44.3%)

Wild PDO Top 3

COOKE (111.4)

BRODZIAK (110.9)

PROSSER (110.0)

Wild PDO Worst 3

VEILLEUX (84.6)

MITCHELL (92.3)

KONOPKA (93.3)

Habs PDO Top 3

BLUNDEN (125.0)

BEAULIEU (118.2)

BOURNIVAL (114.9)

Habs PDO Worst 3

PACIORETTY (90.5)

TINORDI (93.4)

MOEN (94.7)

Michael Borunival appears to be a beast for the Canadiens, driving possession extremely well. Holland and Blunden would appear to be the weak links in that team.

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-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

wild vs habs

Montreal Canadiens

habs vs wild

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

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Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out Scott’s official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get his insight along with all the information you need about the game.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

-Extra Skater

-BehindTheNet.ca

-Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

-SomeKindOfNinja.com

-HockeyAbstract.com

Tags: Advanced Stats Clayton Stoner Corsi Dany Heatley Fancystats Featured Fenclose Fenwick Jonas Brodin Kyle Brodziak Mikael Granlund Mikko Koivu Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild Preview Montreal Canadiens NHL Pdo Popular Regression Sh% Sv% Wild Wild Game Night Zach Parise