Mar 01, 2012; Montreal, QC, CAN; Minnesota Wild left wing Dany Heatley (15) and Montreal Canadiens right wing Rene Bourque (27) talk before a first period face-off at the Bell Center. Mandatory Credit: Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

The Numbers Game: Montreal Canadiens Edition


In a new feature that I’ll be running here on Gone Puck Wild throughout the season, before each game, I will be analysing the underlying numbers for both the Wild and their next opponent to see how they match-up. Tonight’s opponent is, once again, the Montreal Canadiens.

(For more info about some of the stats and terms I use in these articles, check out my stats introduction piece).

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-Here are the underlying numbers for both teams so far this year at 5v5 Close, along with some general statistics:

 

 

WILD CANADIENS
LEAGUE POSITION  15th  13th
HOME RECORD  4-1-2  4-4-0
ROAD RECORD  2-3-1  4-1-0
PP% 24.5% 4th 22.6% 7th
PK% 75.9% 28th 84.3% 7th

-5v5 CLOSE-

WILD CANADIENS
GF% 62.5% 8th 68.4% 5th
CF% 56.8% 3rd 51.5% 12th
FF% 58.1% 1st 52.1% 9th
SF% 59.7% 1st 50.9% 15th
Sh% 5.8% 23rd 7.5% 18th
Sv% 94.8% 5th 96.4% 1st
PDO 100.6 14th 103.9 3rd
(GF%=Goals For %, CF%=Corsi For %, FF%=Fenwick For %, SF%=Shots For Percentage, Sh%=
Shooting Percentage, Sv%=Save Percentage)

Both teams have good puck possession numbers so far this year. The Habs high PDO, a result of their sky-high Sv%, indicates they are likely to regress to the mean. Their penalty kill has been much more successful than the Wild’s.

 

-Here are the Best 3 and Worst 3 players for each team in various statistical categories. This only counts players who have played 25% of their team’s games so far:

 5v5 CLOSE

PLAYER #1

PLAYER #2

PLAYER #3

Wild CF% Top 3

BALLARD (67.7%)

PARISE (64.4%)

KOIVU (63.9%)

Wild CF% Worst 3

FONTAINE (49.6%)

BRODZIAK (49.7%)

PROSSER (50.6%)

Habs CF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (63.25%)

MOEN (61.6%)

ELLER (55.5%)

Habs CF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (25.0%)

BLUNDEN (27.8%)

BOUILLON (45.0%)

Wild FF% Top 3

BALLARD (71.1%)

STONER (67.5%)

PARISE (65.7%)

Wild FF% Worst 3

HEATLEY (49.6%)

GRANLUND (50.5%)

BRODIN (51.4%)

Habs FF% Top 3

BOURNIVAL (66.25%)

MOEN (60.2%)

GALLAGHER (58.7%)

Habs FF% Worst 3

HOLLAND (24.1%)

BLUNDEN (25.9%)

WHITE (44.3%)

Wild PDO Top 3

COOKE (111.4)

BRODZIAK (110.9)

PROSSER (110.0)

Wild PDO Worst 3

VEILLEUX (84.6)

MITCHELL (92.3)

KONOPKA (93.3)

Habs PDO Top 3

BLUNDEN (125.0)

BEAULIEU (118.2)

BOURNIVAL (114.9)

Habs PDO Worst 3

PACIORETTY (90.5)

TINORDI (93.4)

MOEN (94.7)

Michael Borunival appears to be a beast for the Canadiens, driving possession extremely well. Holland and Blunden would appear to be the weak links in that team.

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-Here are the Player Usage Charts for both teams to illustrate which players are getting tough minutes and which players are being sheltered:

Minnesota Wild

wild vs habs

Montreal Canadiens

habs vs wild

(Click To Enlarge)  (Bubble Size=Corsi On Rating. Blue Bubble=Postive. Red Bubble=Negative)

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Okay, that’s all from me. Make sure you check-out Scott’s official Gone Puck Wild Game Preview before puck-drop where you’ll get his insight along with all the information you need about the game.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more hockey views/analysis.

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*Numbers in this article courtesy of:

-Extra Skater

-BehindTheNet.ca

-Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com

-SomeKindOfNinja.com

-HockeyAbstract.com

Tags: Advanced Stats Clayton Stoner Corsi Dany Heatley Fancystats Fenclose Fenwick Jonas Brodin Kyle Brodziak Mikael Granlund Mikko Koivu Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild Preview Montreal Canadiens NHL Pdo Regression Sh% Sv% Wild Wild Game Night Zach Parise